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1

Potential use of an ensemble of analyses in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System

Roberto Buizza, Martin Leutbecher, Lars Isaksen

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 504 KB

english, 2008

2

Mesoscale forecasts of stratospheric mountain waves

Andreas Dörnbrack, Martin Leutbecher, Hans Volkert, Martin Wirth

Journal:

Meteorological Applications

Year:

1998

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.16 MB

english, 1998

3

Mountain-wave-induced record low stratospheric temperatures above northern Scandinavia

ANDREAS DÖRNBRACK, MARTIN LEUTBECHER, RIGEL KIVI, ESKO. KYRÖ

Journal:

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 533 KB

english, 1999

4

On the representation of initial uncertainties with multiple sets of singular vectors optimized for different criteria

Martin Leutbecher

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2007

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 574 KB

english, 2007

5

Scale-dependent verification of ensemble forecasts

Thomas Jung, Martin Leutbecher

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.43 MB

english, 2008

6

Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: From synoptic to decadal time-scales

Peter Bechtold, Martin Köhler, Thomas Jung, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Martin Leutbecher, Mark J. Rodwell, Frederic Vitart, Gianpaolo Balsamo

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.24 MB

english, 2008

7

TIGGE: Preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles

Young-Youn Park, Roberto Buizza, Martin Leutbecher

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 810 KB

english, 2008

8

Sensitivity experiments for ensemble forecasts of the extratropical transition of typhoon Tokage (2004)

Doris Anwender, Sarah C. Jones, Martin Leutbecher, Patrick A. Harr

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2010

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.87 MB

english, 2010

9

Performance of the ECMWF forecasting system in the Arctic during winter

Thomas Jung, Martin Leutbecher

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2007

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.76 MB

english, 2007

10

Comparing TIGGE multimodel forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts

Renate Hagedorn, Roberto Buizza, Thomas M. Hamill, Martin Leutbecher, T. N. Palmer

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.90 MB

english, 2012

11

Relevance of mountain wave cooling for the formation of polar stratospheric clouds over Scandinavia: Mesoscale dynamics and observations for January 1997

Dörnbrack, Andreas, Leutbecher, Martin, Reichardt, Jens, Behrendt, Andreas, Müller, Klaus-Peter, Baumgarten, Gerd

Journal:

Journal of Geophysical Research

Year:

2001

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.27 MB

english, 2001

12

Relevance of mountain waves for the formation of polar stratospheric clouds over Scandinavia: A 20 year climatology

Dörnbrack, Andreas, Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Journal of Geophysical Research

Year:

2001

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.32 MB

english, 2001

13

Stratospheric temperature anomalies and mountain waves: A three-dimensional simulation using a multi-scale weather prediction model

Leutbecher, Martin, Volkert, Hans

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

1996

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 538 KB

english, 1996

14

Comparison between Singular Vectors and Breeding Vectors as Initial Perturbations for the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System

Magnusson, Linus, Leutbecher, Martin, Källén, Erland

Journal:

Monthly Weather Review

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.46 MB

english, 2008

15

A Reduced Radiation Grid for the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System

Morcrette, Jean-Jacques, Mozdzynski, George, Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Monthly Weather Review

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.50 MB

english, 2008

16

Sensitivity, Structure, and Dynamics of Singular Vectors Associated with Hurricane Helene (2006)

Lang, Simon T. K., Jones, Sarah C., Leutbecher, Martin, Peng, Melinda S., Reynolds, Carolyn A.

Journal:

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 5.10 MB

english, 2012

17

On the impact of re-centring initial conditions for ensemble forecasts

Lang, Simon T. K., Bonavita, Massimo, Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.53 MB

english, 2015

18

The Impact of Moist Singular Vectors and Horizontal Resolution on Short-Range Limited-Area Ensemble Forecasts for Two European Winter Storms

Walser, André, Arpagaus, Marco, Appenzeller, Christof, Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Monthly Weather Review

Year:

2006

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.72 MB

english, 2006

19

On Ensemble Prediction Using Singular Vectors Started from Forecasts

Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Monthly Weather Review

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.14 MB

english, 2005

20

The forecast skill horizon

Buizza, Roberto, Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.24 MB

english, 2015

21

Observation-based evaluation of ensemble reliability

Yamaguchi, Munehiko, Lang, Simon T. K., Leutbecher, Martin, Rodwell, Mark J., Radnoti, Gabor, Bormann, Niels

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.86 MB

english, 2016

22

Towards process-level representation of model uncertainties: Stochastically perturbed parametrisations in the ECMWF ensemble

Ollinaho, Pirkka, Lock, Sarah-Jane, Leutbecher, Martin, Bechtold, Peter, Beljaars, Anton, Bozzo, Alessio, Forbes, Richard M., Haiden, Thomas, Hogan, Robin J., Sandu, Irina

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.62 MB

english, 2016

23

Single Precision in Weather Forecasting Models: An Evaluation with the IFS

Váňa, Filip, Düben, Peter, Lang, Simon, Palmer, Tim, Leutbecher, Martin, Salmond, Deborah, Carver, Glenn

Journal:

Monthly Weather Review

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.72 MB

english, 2017

24

Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: State of the art and future vision

Leutbecher, Martin, Lock, Sarah-Jane, Ollinaho, Pirkka, Lang, Simon T. K., Balsamo, Gianpaolo, Bechtold, Peter, Bonavita, Massimo, Christensen, H. M., Diamantakis, Michail, Dutra, Emanuel, English, St

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 11.72 MB

english, 2017

25

Ensemble size: How suboptimal is less than infinity?

Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2018

File:

PDF, 2.81 MB

2018

26

Ensemble size: How suboptimal is less than infinity?

Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.81 MB

english, 2018

27

Statistical post-processing of dual-resolution ensemble forecasts

Baran, Sándor, Leutbecher, Martin, Szabó, Marianna, Ben Bouallègue, Zied

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.48 MB

english, 2019

28

The ensemble-adjusted Ignorance Score for forecasts issued as normal distributions

Siegert, Stefan, Ferro, Christopher A. T., Stephenson, David B., Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2019

File:

PDF, 1.17 MB

2019

29

The ensemble-adjusted Ignorance Score for forecasts issued as normal distributions

Siegert, Stefan, Ferro, Christopher A. T., Stephenson, David B., Leutbecher, Martin

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.17 MB

english, 2019

30

New Methods for Data Storage of Model Output from Ensemble Simulations

Düben, Peter D., Leutbecher, Martin, Bauer, Peter

Journal:

Monthly Weather Review

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.31 MB

english, 2019

31

Mountain-wave-induced record low stratospheric temperatures above northern Scandinavia

Dörnbrack, Andreas, Leutbecher, Martin, Kivi, Rigel, Kyrö, Esko

Journal:

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 720 KB

english, 1999

32

Statistical post‐processing of dual‐resolution ensemble precipitation forecasts across Europe

Gascón, Estíbaliz, Lavers, David, Hamill, Thomas M., Richardson, David S., Ben Bouallègue, Zied, Leutbecher, Martin, Pappenberger, Florian

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 6.12 MB

english, 2019

33

Atmospheric predictability: revisiting the inherent finite-time barrier

Leung, Tsz Yan, Leutbecher, Martin, Reich, Sebastian, Shepherd, Theodore G.

Journal:

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 989 KB

english, 2019

34

Atmospheric predictability: revisiting the inherent finite-time barrier

Leung, Tsz Yan, Leutbecher, Martin, Reich, Sebastian, Shepherd, Theodore G.

Journal:

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Year:

2019

File:

PDF, 989 KB

2019

35

Predictive verification for the design of partially exchangeable multi-model ensembles

Ben BouallÃ©gue, Zied, Ferro, Christopher A. T., Leutbecher, Martin, Richardson, David S.

Journal:

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 586 KB

2020